2025 has undeniably been another momentous year for the property market. The year was buoyed with major headlines such as brand new HDB housing estates and record-high prices for flats. Who would’ve thought 4-room flats would go for above a million?
The year also saw various announcements such as enhancements to the Home Improvement Programme and hikes in Seller’s Stamp Duty rates. And yet, 2026 is already beginning to write itself as an even bigger year for homeowners.
More than 13,400 flats across 27 projects will reach their 5-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) in 2026, which will boost resale supply and shift buyer and seller expectations.
Bumper crop of flats hitting their MOP in 2026
According to data online, over 13,400 HDB flats will be hitting their MOP next year. The bulk of them will be in Punggol, Queenstown, and Tampines. These are BTO projects that TOPed in late 2020 or early 2021.
This number is nearly more than double the 6,970 flats that hit their MOP this year.
How will this surge affect the market?
With a higher supply of flats bolstering the volume of homes available for sale, we would probably see some cooling of prices in the resale market. Sellers would likely face pressure to temper their prices downwards in order to move their listings. In the end, buyers would benefit from this given the influx of options.
Prices will still inevitably rise, though likely at a slower rate than the past few years.
Furthermore, this trend is something that we will see continue over the next few years. According to real estate agency OrangeTee, the supply of flats newly MOP-ing is expected to grow to over 18,900 units in 2027. It’ll reach nearly 21,400 in 2028.
So, which projects are we most excited about?
1. Alkaff Oasis
Image credit: Alan Wee
It should probably be no surprise that a Bidadari project would feature in such a list as this. After all, Bidadari flats have been red-hot in the market. We’ve already seen the neighbouring Alkaff Vista fetching multiple million-dollar transactions for its newly-MOPed 4-room flats.
Even 3-room flats at Alkaff Crescent have been going for as high as $900K.
With 1,594 units spread across 16 blocks, Alkaff Oasis is a huge, sprawling development. It will add a significant supply of Bidadari flats to the market. Launched during the February 2016 BTO launch, it was 75 times oversubscribed, which certainly speaks of its popularity.
Excluding grants, prices of units started from $440K for 4-room units, $546K for 5-room units, and $553K for 3Gen flats.
Location-wise, it is slightly further away from the nearby Woodleigh Mall and Woodleigh MRT Station compared to the other Alkaff developments. These include Crescent, Vista, and CourtView. This distance might help in easing the asking prices of units.
Looking at how the various Alkaff projects have fared in the market so far, the likely trajectory of Alkaff Oasis flats would be similar to those of its Bidadari counterparts. However, we might see a slight cooling off in terms of growth rate of prices.
2. SkyResidence@Dawson
Image credit: Tan Kian Leong
It’s probably worth pointing out that there are actually 2 Dawson projects that are MOP-ing in 2026. They are SkyResidence @ Dawson and SkyOasis @ Dawson.
Both of them are practically next to each other, so they both share the same favourable locational attributes. They’re close to the nearby Queenstown MRT Station as well as iconic spots in the Queenstown estate. These include Margaret Drive Hawker Centre and Queenstown Public Library.
Schools are also within easy reach. Queenstown Primary, Gan Eng Seng Primary, and New Town Primary are all nearby. SkyResidence is a marginally larger development compared to SkyOasis, with slightly more units.
We chose to feature SkyResidence over SkyOasis in our list because SkyOasis has already seen some activity in the resale market. This includes a headline-grabbing 5-room flat that was sold for $1.73M back in July 2024.
The sale was possible because SkyOasis is designated as a SERS replacement site. Relocated owners are allowed to sell their flats earlier than standard BTO timelines. They can sell 7 years from registration, or 5 years from date of collection, whichever is earlier.
Both projects will inject a good number of over 2,300 units into the market. This will help introduce more resale options to buyers hoping to live in the Queenstown estate. However, don’t expect any drastic movements in terms of price trends for flats here.
Queenstown has long commanded record-high property prices because of its location. Being at the top of the market, asking prices for flats are more or less firmly entrenched in the most expensive price tier.
3. Bedok Beacon
Image credit: Tan Kian Leong
Another project that we’re keenly watching is Bedok Beacon. It was a BTO project launched in November 2016 and completed in 2021. It brings 500 units of 2-room Flexi and 4-room flats into the market.
As you know, HDB projects located right next to integrated transport hubs are always a popular pick amongst homebuyers. MRT stations and bus interchanges provide unbeatable convenience for commuting.
In the case of Bedok Beacon, it’s next to Bedok Integrated Transport Hub. The hub houses a bus interchange and is just a short walk from Bedok MRT Station. Bedok Beacon is also situated right next to Bedok Mall.
There are plenty of amenities nearby. These include commercial and retail shops, food and lifestyle outlets, and childcare centres. All of these are collectively known as Bedok Town Centre.
In fact, you can almost think of it as a mixed-use development.
In 2026, Bedok Beacon and Bedok North Vale are the only HDB projects in Bedok MOP-ing. Bedok North Vale has 215 units. Together, they bring 715 units into the market, which are mostly 2-room or 4-room flats.
Given its relatively small volume compared to the likes of Punggol, it’s unlikely that prices of Bedok resale flats will face significant pressure. Punggol will bring over 3,200 units to the market. However, Bedok Beacon might pull off some surprises given it’s more or less part of an integrated transport hub.
4. Tampines GreenVerge
Image credit: Google Maps
In terms of absolute number of units, Tampines GreenVerge is the largest HDB project MOP-ing in 2026. A total of 2,022 units will be made eligible for resale. Of these, 1,106 units are 4-room flats, which makes it the largest supply of 4-room flats entering the market.
There are other Tampines projects also MOP-ing next year. These include Tampines GreenFlora and Tampines GreenBloom. But they are quite small developments of just around 300 units each.
And so, Tampines GreenVerge will definitely be the main target of homebuyers looking to live in the East.
One potential downside of Tampines GreenVerge is that it is not located near the main hub of Tampines. The main hub consists of the cluster of 3 shopping malls at Tampines Central as well as Tampines MRT Station.
However, it does have a relatively good spread of amenities in its vicinity. These include F&B options, commercial and retail outlets, childcare facilities, and community facilities.
Given the potentially large number of flats being listed online after hitting MOP, buyers can expect some pretty competitive pricing. This is good news because the variety of options available would help to soften price negotiations. However, as a seller this might be a concern because it would limit your potential profit.
Exciting times ahead for the HDB resale market in 2026
Image credit: Trade Link Media
Overall, 2026 will be a pretty interesting year for the HDB resale market. This applies even if you’re not actively seeking out a new home next year.
Over the past year or so, one of the major concerns of potential homebuyers has always been the affordability of flats. And with good reason. With headlines such as million-dollar 4-room flats and even 3-room flats creeping up closer to the $800K to $900K region, most of us are understandably worried.
Image credit: HDB
Part of the reason why there has been a general increase in prices of resale flats is because of a lack of supply. Over the past few years, there has been a relatively low volume of flats hitting their MOP. Reasons include construction delays during the pandemic years.
These delays impact when the projects TOP, which in turn impacts when they hit their MOP.
Between 2023 and 2025, the estimated number of flats newly MOP-ing only stood at around 34,000 combined. Approximately a third of that will be fulfilled next year. It is estimated that number will grow to over 18,900 flats in 2027 and nearly 21,400 in 2028.
Because of this, buyers have something to look forward to. We can perhaps see some sanity in the resale market, with flats actually being affordable and not being priced astronomically high.
The large influx of flats will ensure that the dynamics tilt towards a buyers market. This gives purchasers greater negotiating power and choice.
This will unlikely affect the probability of new record-high transactions for popular projects. Projects such as Alkaff Oasis or the Dawson projects will still command premium prices. But for the rest of the market, it would certainly make prices more palatable.
Read our other articles here:
- $880K HDB terrace house on sale
- Why my resale HDB have a hole in the wall?
- Nostalgic HDB features worth reviving
Cover image adapted from: address.style, Tan Kian Leong
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